Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000610 0.000654 0.000700 0.000751 0.000805 0.000863 0.000927
2025-12-07 0.000539 0.000600 0.000666 0.000743 0.000829 0.000922 0.001032
2025-12-14 0.000483 0.000555 0.000635 0.000731 0.000841 0.000966 0.001117
2025-12-21 0.000441 0.000520 0.000610 0.000721 0.000853 0.001006 0.001197
2025-12-28 0.000398 0.000480 0.000576 0.000695 0.000842 0.001016 0.001240
2026-01-04 0.000368 0.000452 0.000552 0.000681 0.000842 0.001038 0.001295
2026-01-11 0.000347 0.000435 0.000541 0.000680 0.000857 0.001077 0.001372
2026-01-18 0.000331 0.000421 0.000533 0.000681 0.000874 0.001119 0.001453
2026-01-25 0.000315 0.000407 0.000523 0.000679 0.000887 0.001154 0.001527
2026-02-01 0.000297 0.000389 0.000507 0.000669 0.000886 0.001172 0.001577
2026-02-08 0.000281 0.000374 0.000493 0.000660 0.000887 0.001191 0.001629
2026-02-15 0.000268 0.000360 0.000481 0.000653 0.000890 0.001212 0.001683
2026-02-22 0.000255 0.000348 0.000471 0.000648 0.000899 0.001243 0.001757
2026-03-01 0.000244 0.000337 0.000463 0.000647 0.000911 0.001279 0.001840
2026-03-08 0.000231 0.000324 0.000450 0.000638 0.000912 0.001300 0.001901
2026-03-15 0.000219 0.000311 0.000439 0.000630 0.000914 0.001322 0.001964
2026-03-22 0.000204 0.000294 0.000418 0.000609 0.000894 0.001311 0.001976
2026-03-29 0.000193 0.000281 0.000405 0.000596 0.000887 0.001318 0.002017
2026-04-05 0.000186 0.000274 0.000399 0.000595 0.000897 0.001351 0.002098
2026-04-12 0.000181 0.000268 0.000395 0.000596 0.000911 0.001390 0.002189
2026-04-19 0.000174 0.000262 0.000390 0.000595 0.000920 0.001422 0.002272
2026-04-26 0.000166 0.000252 0.000380 0.000586 0.000916 0.001432 0.002319
2026-05-03 0.000159 0.000244 0.000371 0.000578 0.000914 0.001446 0.002372